But, if (as you now say) "nobody... has a lead on the Dem side," (emphasis added) that tends to discredit your earlier point, namely, that the Des Moine Register endorsement had helped her.

I realize that it's tempting for anyone with a favorite candidate to want to believe polls that support the candidate, and discredit the ones that don't. I also understand that it's tempting to want to believe in the importance of endorsements when they support that same candidate.

But try to maintain at least a little consistency. If you are going to keep hitting us with polls to show that Hillary's in the lead, you can't just ignore the ones that show her falling behind.