Originally Posted By: the G-man
 Originally Posted By: THE Bastard
 Originally Posted By: the G-man
 Quote:

As I said earlier, it'll be like 2004 when the issue was on the ballot to add an amendment to the Ohio Constitution defining marriage. The evangelicals turned out in much larger numbers than normal to vote for it and the vast majority of them voted for Bush while they were there. Those votes carried the state.

In my opinion, choice is going to be that single issue that, as you said, can and will sway a swing state one way or the other. It won't be the sole motivator for most voters but, it will be for enough of them to turn the election, I think, for Obama.


Based on that anecdote even if abortion were the deciding factor it would decide it in favor of McCain, not Obama.


In my model, the left and even some moderate Republican women will mobilize to uphold Roe . That's why I see it for Obama.


Why would you think that's going to happen this year when it didn't happen in 2000 or 2004, when the overtly pro-life George W. Bush ran for President and won twice?


1. The Justices weren't as old and weren't making so much noise about stepping down.

2. 2004 was the election on fear. Abortion wasn't on the radar.

3. Are you really gong to make me say it...? Gore won in 2000. ;\)

Oderint, dum metuant.


You are a god damned idiot, you know that? You ought to be smacked upside your dumb-fuck head, even after all these years. Shame on you!
-USCHI showin' some love