I am going out on a limb and say that the GOP will make a strong push for NY and NJ.
I also think they will win Penn. comfortably (which allows them to lose Florida).
Also, check out the changes in Electoral Votes for each state. The shifts give more electoral votes to red states (this isn't a political conspiracy. It is directly from the Census). [/QB]
Sadly, I'll bet that the GOP does take NY, NJ, and (most sadly) my state of Florida. I'm not so sure about Penn., tho.
Even though I stated in my last post that I'll almost assuredly vote against Bush, I really don't see him losing to any of the current Democratic candidates.
