Loaiza seemed like a lock 3 weeks ago, but he's pitched poorly since. His September ERA is 6.35, raising his once league leading ERA from 2.46 to 2.96. He had 3 straight losses at one point, all against division title contenders KC and Minnesota; a big part of Chicago's late flop.
Conversely, Roy Halladay has been absolutely lights out in September, with a 0.86 ERA so far this month, including a 10 inning 3 hit shutout on the 6th where he threw just 99 pitches, which game in the middle of a stretch of 41 straight innings without an earned run. His ERA was once cited as the reason he shouldn't win at 3.68, but now at 3.22(Moyer's is 3.27), in the division that scored the most runs this year, it's a big reason why he should.
Even after all that, here's my favorite stat, about Roy Halladay:
8 complete games. Loaiza and Moyer have 1 apiece(Moyer got his first of the year in his last start).
