There's one small but important detail you're overlooking:the Pats have had a week off to rest and to prepare for whatever assault Peyton Manning might try to throw in their face. Indy, on the other hand, is coming off two games in a row against Denver and will be arriving at Foxboro with little if any gas left in its tank. Add to that the fact that the game will be played in very cold weather--which usually favors the Patriots--and you're looking at the Colts' seventh straight defeat by New England since Peyton Manning took over as starting quarterback.
And incidentally,Jim,I think you and everybody else betting on the Colts are greatly underestimating the Pats' ability to compensate for problems with their defensive line;I'm inclined to think that come next Sunday, Earthwind Moreland will be the latest New England defensive player to victimize Peyton.