Again, they haven't lied. Even the example you used of them finding muntions that they thought were WMDs that later turned out not to be isn't a lie. Infact it answers the "fishyness" that you and PJP smell. If they've blundered in the past by rushing to judgement then they learned thier lesson and decided to wait untill they collected enough evidence to be sure of thier claim before making it public... this sounds like quite the opposite of the boy who cried wolf. I think the boy who cried wolf better describes those who keep claiming we're losing the day before another victory and want to huury up and get out of Iraq before we collect enough victories that they can no longer claim we're losing.